Over the past two weeks we have seen updates from two of Britain’s biggest middle market clothing retailers: Debenhams and Marks & Spencer.
There were two conclusions to draw. Firstly, selling clothes on the high street has been a headache over recent months. But, more importantly, both companies seem to have materially set about the task of cracking the clothing sector's middle market online and are now making headway.
We’re going to be brutally honest here. The effort has been brewing for several years now but both need to acknowledge they were slow to respond and ask what that means for their ability to cope with future upheavals.
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Debenhams: online sales improving |
The online threat, for only now is it becoming a realistic opportunity for both retailers, can only be described as a juggernaut heading towards Britain’s high streets and like proverbial rabbits too many retailers were caught in the headlights.
In 2007, Debenhams mentioned the word ‘internet’ just seven times in its annual report after floating on the stock market a year earlier (the word ‘online’ didn't feature at all). Clearly its private equity owners hadn't put a great deal of thought into the problem ahead of the stock market listing of the firm in 2006. By 2008, with profits on the wane and amid the worst financial crisis for decades, in the annual report published three months after the collapse of Lehman’s on December 10 the word ‘online’ had crept in 27 times. Against total sales of around £2.3 billion, internet sales were £42 million rising to £55 million in 2009. Still a slow burner but fear, it might appear, is a great catalyst for change.
It is difficult to gauge exactly why 2008 was the time high street boardrooms of Britain were suddenly dazzled by the online opportunity. Certainly store sales began to suffer amid the banking crisis and the possibilities of this new revenue stream had become all the more pressing. But the successes of internet pure-plays like Asos and the increasing talk among catalogue firms like Argos, N Brown and the former Littlewoods group Shop Direct about the online opportunity was becoming more prevalent.
But, and let’s be honest about this, £55 million online sales at Debenhams is barely more than a large store – and that was 2009.
But last week its online performance appeared to be more in line with the balance of stores versus direct sales. Debenhams said its online sales rose 46.2 per cent to £194.4 million in the six months to March 2 which it pointed out beat total online market growth of around 13 per cent.
Multichannel sales in the period were 12.7 per cent of total sales – not far off estimates of 14 or 15 per cent for online versus total sales in the clothing industry as a whole. That compares to The group said its 'medium-term' annual target is £600 million - about a quarter of its current sales.
Rival Marks & Spencer is a little behind the curve being set by Debenhams but beginning to make headway. Its ecommerce distribution centre in Castle Donnington, Leicestershire officially launches next month. It is currently separating from a deal made with Amazon.com years ago to prop up its online strategy and will launch its own web operation next year.
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M&S: new beauty ranges. Beauty and accessories products work better online |
Two weeks ago it said online sales increased 22.9 per cent from January to March which chief executive Marc Bolland pointed out is an acceleration over the company’s previous quarter. We estimate that takes its full year sales to about £650 million. No doubt it will reveal more about its online plans in May when it posts full-year results.
The questions for large retailers are these. With technology changing so quickly are you comfortable that you will not be blindsided by further twists and turns in the online market?
Affiliate marketing is becoming a powerful force, for example, but is it being harnessed?
A broader question for new entrants is whether middle market clothing the place to be on the internet? The success of Next directory suggests it can be lucrative but the arrival of Debenhams and Marks & Spencer in a bigger way indicates the market will become more competitive.
What is more margins tend to be slimmer for middle market clothing than niche retailers and niche brands. Debenhams told the Financial Times last week that its margins online were fatter than on the high street. This is understandable given high street rents, bills and business rate taxes compared to distribution warehouses. On the other hand the statement begs so many more questions than it answers. For example, is Debenhams online site selling items that are naturally higher margin – the more attractive, in demand pieces that leap out of the screen? What percentage of online sales are accessories, bags and home wares – items that tend to be naturally higher margin than more risky fashions?
Perhaps all this stands as a warning to smaller retailers. The middle market on the face of it is beginning to look like a place for grown-ups. Large, mature retailers who can afford to deal in slim margins. Debenhams sales were £2.7 billion last year and pre-tax profit at £158 million. Marks & Spencer with sales of about £10 billion and profit oscillating between £600 million and £700 million is not a great deal better off. Can small retailers compete? Probably not directly but perhaps by identifying niche groups of customers whether than is geographically - targeting local customers, through better service, or with sites that give more information or better advice.
Add to that competition from other high street businesses and catalogue firms such as N Brown and Shop Direct. It could be argued there is a serious crunch coming.
Tags: Marks & Spencer, Debenhams, Shop Direct, N Brown, online shopping, ecommerce, Asos, Next Directory, internet retailing, etail